In "Discrepancy in polls adds confusion to Murray-Rossi race" written by Seattle Times staff writer Jack Broom, the discussion about Stuart Elway's recent flabbergasting poll that showed a 13 point edge over Dino Rossi by incumbent Patty Murray. Later in the article Broom states: "Elway's poll of 450 voters carries a margin of error of 4.6 percentage points; the CNN/Time poll, based on interviews of 1,510 adults, reports a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points. Of two dozen polls widely reported since Rossi officially entered the race in late May, none has shown a larger lead for Murray than Elway's new poll". I believe that this statement of error is why so many people were up in arms by the announcement of these "statistics" created by Elway. Essentially he was "overstating the strength of Democrats" in today's senatorial race.
Saturday, October 30, 2010
Could Pierce Country be the Key to Senate Election 2010? Are the Polls Confusing Washington Voters?
In the article "Pierce County could determine state winner, national control of Senate" written by Jordan Schrader in The News Tribune out of Tacoma, Washington, two influential political persons have stated that Pierce county could be a coin toss for senate candidates. As we round out our last week before election day, J.Vander Stoep, an attorney who ran Sen. Slade Gorton’s winning 1994 campaign and advised Rossi in his two gubernatorial bids, has stated that Snohomish, Pierce, and Kitsap counties can "very definitely swing in favor of a republican". Political consultant Ron Dotzauer stated "If you’re a Democrat, basically you stand on the top of the Space Needle and do 360 degrees, and see every vote you need to win". Dotzauer, who has, in the past, run statewide campaigns for Democrats, including Senator Maria Cantwell, advised the candidates that ignoring conservative eastern Washington and focusing on five to six counties west of the Cascades would be to their benefit. (Thenewstribune.com).
In "Discrepancy in polls adds confusion to Murray-Rossi race" written by Seattle Times staff writer Jack Broom, the discussion about Stuart Elway's recent flabbergasting poll that showed a 13 point edge over Dino Rossi by incumbent Patty Murray. Later in the article Broom states: "Elway's poll of 450 voters carries a margin of error of 4.6 percentage points; the CNN/Time poll, based on interviews of 1,510 adults, reports a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points. Of two dozen polls widely reported since Rossi officially entered the race in late May, none has shown a larger lead for Murray than Elway's new poll". I believe that this statement of error is why so many people were up in arms by the announcement of these "statistics" created by Elway. Essentially he was "overstating the strength of Democrats" in today's senatorial race.
In "Discrepancy in polls adds confusion to Murray-Rossi race" written by Seattle Times staff writer Jack Broom, the discussion about Stuart Elway's recent flabbergasting poll that showed a 13 point edge over Dino Rossi by incumbent Patty Murray. Later in the article Broom states: "Elway's poll of 450 voters carries a margin of error of 4.6 percentage points; the CNN/Time poll, based on interviews of 1,510 adults, reports a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points. Of two dozen polls widely reported since Rossi officially entered the race in late May, none has shown a larger lead for Murray than Elway's new poll". I believe that this statement of error is why so many people were up in arms by the announcement of these "statistics" created by Elway. Essentially he was "overstating the strength of Democrats" in today's senatorial race.
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